.THERE IS ACTUALLY bit uncertainty regarding the very likely winner of Britain’s general political election on July 4th: with a lead of 20 amount aspects in national opinion surveys, the Labour Event is actually remarkably very likely to succeed. Yet there is anxiety about the dimension of Labour’s large number in Britain’s 650-seat House of Commons. Some polling agencies have actually released seat forecasts making use of an unique method referred to as multi-level regression and post-stratification (MRP).
What are these surveys– and how precise are they?